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Red324
237495.4
154094.3
4061110.6
Blue345
1778118.7
413188.6
255091.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29231105001,0001,5002,000324345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#50
110.61.3
102.9104.2
Auto13.1
Teleop42.8
End54.8
blue by 8.1
118.73.5
109.2112.7
Auto12.1
Teleop51.9
End54.7
Second
2374
#15
95.41.3
86.988.2
Auto8.1
Teleop58.7
End28.6
red by 3.7
2550
#31
91.73.5
107.8111.3
Auto9.5
Teleop48.0
End34.3
Third
1540
#16
94.31.3
90.391.5
Auto10.1
Teleop43.1
End41.2
red by 5.7
4131
#46
88.63.5
76.279.6
Auto11.8
Teleop40.0
End36.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed