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Red345
508586.0
2147103.0
451387.1
Blue372
1595105.3
3238128.7
634383.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663670100200300400500600345372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#44
103.05.3
97.2102.5
Auto13.2
Teleop46.2
End43.5
blue by 25.7
128.70.8
125.6126.4
Auto13.0
Teleop64.6
End51.1
Second
4513
#14
87.15.3
82.687.8
Auto8.5
Teleop42.1
End36.5
blue by 18.2
1595
#37
105.30.8
113.8114.6
Auto13.5
Teleop44.2
End47.6
Third
5085
#41
86.05.3
86.291.4
Auto13.7
Teleop39.1
End33.3
red by 2.7
6343
#32
83.30.8
95.596.3
Auto8.4
Teleop43.3
End31.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsEarned2%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed