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Red282
561884.1
229102.1
259099.1
Blue285
552880.4
555373.9
338683.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321225100200300400500282285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#1
102.10.8
104.1103.4
Auto11.0
Teleop51.0
End40.2
red by 18.5
3386
#19
83.71.7
79.781.5
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End41.5
Second
2590
#17
99.10.8
101.1100.3
Auto12.6
Teleop54.4
End32.1
red by 18.7
80.41.7
76.478.1
Auto8.3
Teleop39.0
End33.0
Third
5618
#18
84.11.0
86.785.7
Auto11.8
Teleop34.0
End38.3
red by 10.2
73.91.7
70.071.7
Auto10.1
Teleop34.4
End29.4