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Red259
338683.7
555373.9
552880.4
Blue185
495282.6
544384.3
449177.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218272100300400259185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3386
#19
83.71.3
75.877.1
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End41.5
blue by 0.7
84.32.1
86.584.3
Auto9.2
Teleop37.1
End38.0
Second
80.41.3
72.473.8
Auto8.3
Teleop39.0
End33.0
blue by 2.3
4952
#14
82.61.9
84.682.6
Auto10.5
Teleop33.2
End38.9
Third
73.91.3
66.067.3
Auto10.1
Teleop34.4
End29.4
blue by 3.8
4491
#12
77.81.9
79.777.8
Auto5.4
Teleop40.1
End32.3