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Red0
494758.5
586594.4
3990103.8
Blue243
552880.4
555373.9
338683.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27522301002003004000243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3990
#9DQ
103.82.1
102.9105.0
Auto13.6
Teleop42.9
End47.3
red by 20.1
3386
#19
83.70.6
77.177.7
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End41.5
Second
5865
#2DQ
94.43.0
93.196.1
Auto8.2
Teleop45.7
End40.5
red by 14.0
80.40.6
73.874.4
Auto8.3
Teleop39.0
End33.0
Third
4947
#21DQ
58.52.8
57.460.2
Auto7.9
Teleop24.8
End25.8
blue by 15.4
73.90.6
67.367.9
Auto10.1
Teleop34.4
End29.4