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Red280
511279.1
175787.7
190106.4
Blue275
12675.3
12191.7
206468.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942430100200400500280275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#17
106.40.4
105.9105.6
Auto14.8
Teleop45.4
End46.2
red by 14.7
121
#8
91.70.3
92.392.6
Auto11.7
Teleop41.7
End38.3
Second
87.70.4
87.386.9
Auto9.6
Teleop35.4
End42.7
red by 12.4
126
#15
75.30.3
76.076.2
Auto9.8
Teleop40.3
End25.2
Third
5112
#23
79.10.4
78.678.3
Auto11.3
Teleop43.7
End24.1
red by 11.0
2064
#36
68.10.3
68.769.0
Auto9.3
Teleop39.6
End19.2