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Red500
673184.5
2168127.0
78119.2
Blue255
190106.4
175787.7
511279.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359278100200400500500255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
127.00.5
125.5126.0
Auto15.3
Teleop61.0
End50.7
red by 20.6
190
#17
106.40.4
106.8106.4
Auto14.8
Teleop45.4
End46.2
Second
78
#6
119.20.5
117.7118.2
Auto10.6
Teleop50.9
End57.7
red by 31.5
87.70.4
88.287.7
Auto9.6
Teleop35.4
End42.7
Third
6731
#37
84.50.5
83.083.6
Auto10.2
Teleop42.2
End32.1
red by 5.4
5112
#23
79.10.4
79.579.1
Auto11.3
Teleop43.7
End24.1