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Red294
585665.1
207965.6
125100.7
Blue305
17683.3
15777.1
110080.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22924605001,0001,500294305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#3
100.75.0
97.1102.0
Auto15.4
Teleop45.5
End39.8
red by 17.4
176
#28DQ
83.34.9
76.381.2
Auto7.0
Teleop44.7
End31.6
Second
2079
#35
65.65.0
57.362.2
Auto5.4
Teleop25.5
End34.7
blue by 14.8
1100
#26
80.44.9
79.084.0
Auto10.0
Teleop38.3
End32.1
Third
5856
#32
65.15.0
65.270.2
Auto7.5
Teleop31.7
End25.9
blue by 12.0
157
#25
77.14.9
75.880.7
Auto11.3
Teleop30.0
End35.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed