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Red255
175787.7
112483.8
415155.0
Blue235
127774.0
584693.5
109968.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227235150200250300255235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.72.6
82.485.0
Auto9.6
Teleop35.4
End42.7
blue by 5.8
93.50.8
84.485.3
Auto6.9
Teleop42.4
End44.2
Second
1124
#16
83.82.6
78.280.8
Auto9.2
Teleop42.7
End32.0
red by 9.8
1277
#18
74.00.8
73.674.4
Auto8.1
Teleop36.5
End29.4
Third
4151
#31
55.02.6
56.058.6
Auto8.8
Teleop28.0
End18.2
blue by 13.5
1099
#29
68.50.8
64.365.2
Auto9.1
Teleop31.8
End27.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed