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Quarterfinal 2-22017 Palmetto Regional
Red280
28380.9
155371.9
128777.5
Blue169
397649.1
622261.2
496558.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2331680100200300400280169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
283
#17
80.91.4
74.8→76.2
Auto7.0
Teleop42.4
End31.6
red by 19.7
6222
#7
61.20.0
61.3→61.3
Auto10.6
Teleop25.2
End25.5
Second
1287
#6
77.51.4
71.3→72.7
Auto8.5
Teleop37.3
End31.6
red by 19.2
4965
#35
58.30.0
58.3→58.3
Auto8.4
Teleop19.7
End30.3
Third
1553
#4
71.91.4
65.8→67.2
Auto8.9
Teleop35.3
End27.7
red by 22.8
3976
#40
49.10.0
49.1→49.2
Auto5.5
Teleop25.3
End18.3