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Red250
35994.2
3824113.9
131974.4
Blue205
239386.8
261479.1
426573.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327247100200300400500250205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.91.6
119.8118.3
Auto16.6
Teleop47.1
End50.2
red by 27.2
86.81.3
88.787.4
Auto9.2
Teleop36.6
End41.0
Second
359
#14
94.21.6
100.198.5
Auto11.4
Teleop44.3
End38.5
red by 15.1
79.11.3
81.079.7
Auto11.2
Teleop40.1
End27.9
Third
1319
#13
74.41.6
79.477.9
Auto6.0
Teleop28.7
End39.7
red by 0.5
4265
#32
73.91.3
75.874.5
Auto10.1
Teleop36.4
End27.4