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Red305
3737107.0
2059100.2
4451117.5
Blue300
3489109.4
636682.8
3489B54.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3862430100200300500600700305300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
Unranked
117.50.0
117.5117.5
Auto12.9
Teleop48.8
End55.8
red by 8.0
3489
Unranked
109.40.0
109.4109.4
Auto16.1
Teleop49.8
End43.6
Second
3737
Unranked
107.00.0
107.0107.0
Auto11.5
Teleop55.2
End40.2
red by 24.2
6366
Unranked
82.80.0
82.882.8
Auto9.1
Teleop39.0
End34.7
Third
2059
Unranked
100.20.0
100.2100.2
Auto8.4
Teleop49.6
End42.3
red by 45.5
3489B
Unranked
54.70.0
54.754.7
Auto8.0
Teleop24.9
End21.8