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Red185
3737107.0
28389.0
4451117.5
Blue250
175874.4
636682.8
3489109.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3562700100200400500600700185250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
Unranked
117.50.0
117.5117.5
Auto12.9
Teleop48.8
End55.8
red by 8.0
3489
Unranked
109.40.0
109.4109.4
Auto16.1
Teleop49.8
End43.6
Second
3737
Unranked
107.00.0
107.0107.0
Auto11.5
Teleop55.2
End40.2
red by 24.2
6366
Unranked
82.80.0
82.882.8
Auto9.1
Teleop39.0
End34.7
Third
283
Unranked
89.00.0
89.089.0
Auto11.1
Teleop48.8
End29.1
red by 14.6
1758
Unranked
74.40.0
74.474.4
Auto9.6
Teleop35.7
End29.1