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Red205
175874.4
636682.8
3489109.4
Blue145
4935B38.6
493577.2
532751.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3011580100200400500600205145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
Unranked
109.40.0
109.4109.4
Auto16.1
Teleop49.8
End43.6
red by 32.2
4935
Unranked
77.20.0
77.277.2
Auto9.4
Teleop39.3
End28.5
Second
6366
Unranked
82.80.0
82.882.8
Auto9.1
Teleop39.0
End34.7
red by 31.5
5327
Unranked
51.30.0
51.351.3
Auto6.4
Teleop21.9
End23.0
Third
1758
Unranked
74.40.0
74.474.4
Auto9.6
Teleop35.7
End29.1
red by 35.8
4935B
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto4.7
Teleop19.7
End14.2