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Red235
28389.0
2059100.2
4451117.5
Blue195
3196101.5
349093.0
34388.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3342940100200400500600700235195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
Unranked
117.50.0
117.5117.5
Auto12.9
Teleop48.8
End55.8
red by 16.0
3196
Unranked
101.50.0
101.5101.5
Auto12.6
Teleop49.0
End39.9
Second
2059
Unranked
100.20.0
100.2100.2
Auto8.4
Teleop49.6
End42.3
red by 7.2
3490
Unranked
93.00.0
93.093.0
Auto10.8
Teleop34.7
End47.4
Third
283
Unranked
89.00.0
89.089.0
Auto11.1
Teleop48.8
End29.1
red by 0.7
343
Unranked
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto10.1
Teleop41.4
End36.9