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Red285
217773.9
501687.6
3683112.6
Blue290
2386111.4
641954.8
395477.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012490100200400500600700800285290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#12
112.60.4
115.1115.5
Auto13.5
Teleop57.9
End41.3
red by 1.3
2386
#14
111.42.8
106.5109.3
Auto11.3
Teleop47.2
End52.8
Second
5016
#29
87.60.4
87.788.1
Auto8.5
Teleop44.1
End35.0
red by 9.8
3954
#38
77.82.8
82.685.4
Auto6.5
Teleop35.2
End36.1
Third
2177
#48
73.90.4
76.877.2
Auto9.7
Teleop28.7
End35.6
red by 19.2
6419
#65
54.82.8
54.457.1
Auto4.3
Teleop30.0
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
13%Rotor oddsMissed7%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed