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Qual 992017 Tesla Division
Red275
3015111.6
29289.6
51102.1
Blue305
1391113.3
179289.5
1023112.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333352200250300400450500275305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#11
111.64.6
117.5→112.9
Auto18.2
Teleop44.8
End48.6
blue by 1.7
1391
#35
113.31.8
117.6→115.8
Auto11.3
Teleop50.5
End51.5
Second
51
#44
102.14.6
108.6→104.0
Auto16.2
Teleop39.6
End46.4
blue by 10.8
1023
#16
112.91.8
115.5→113.7
Auto15.1
Teleop50.8
End47.1
Third
292
#58
89.64.6
92.9→88.3
Auto9.0
Teleop45.5
End35.1
red by 0.1
1792
#51
89.51.8
98.9→97.1
Auto9.2
Teleop35.5
End44.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed28%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed