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Red247
1519109.8
3683112.6
499172.6
Blue347
2168125.7
190104.0
3015111.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3143890100200500600700247347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#12
112.64.1
112.0107.9
Auto13.5
Teleop57.9
End41.3
blue by 13.1
125.70.9
127.0126.1
Auto17.3
Teleop60.8
End47.7
Second
109.84.1
109.6105.5
Auto28.3
Teleop43.0
End38.5
blue by 1.8
3015
#11
111.60.9
122.5121.6
Auto18.2
Teleop44.8
End48.6
Third
4991
#62
72.64.1
86.982.8
Auto9.8
Teleop34.3
End28.5
blue by 31.4
190
#13
104.00.9
110.5109.6
Auto13.2
Teleop44.4
End46.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsMissed22%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
3%Pressure oddsEarned2%Pressure oddsMissed