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Red295
4481107.6
29289.6
2084106.4
Blue255
3419117.2
435668.9
3974102.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33931102006008001,0001,2001,400295255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#30
107.61.6
103.4101.8
Auto10.6
Teleop50.3
End46.7
blue by 9.5
117.22.9
107.9105.0
Auto12.6
Teleop54.9
End49.7
Second
2084
#17
106.41.6
116.2114.7
Auto9.8
Teleop53.1
End43.5
red by 4.3
3974
#24
102.12.9
110.1107.1
Auto11.7
Teleop53.6
End36.7
Third
292
#58
89.61.6
98.997.3
Auto9.0
Teleop45.5
End35.1
red by 20.7
4356
#55
68.93.3
81.277.9
Auto9.0
Teleop23.4
End36.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsEarned4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed