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Red321
111102.2
3546111.7
170696.8
Blue355
501687.6
663788.6
658295.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31929002004006008001,0001,2001,400321355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#50
111.71.4
114.3115.7
Auto12.7
Teleop50.1
End48.9
red by 16.3
6582
#18
95.43.1
100.4103.5
Auto8.4
Teleop48.6
End38.4
Second
111
#21
102.21.4
91.392.7
Auto7.6
Teleop49.0
End45.6
red by 13.6
6637
#43
88.63.1
83.086.1
Auto7.8
Teleop39.2
End41.6
Third
1706
#40
96.81.4
94.195.6
Auto20.1
Teleop38.3
End38.4
red by 9.1
5016
#29
87.63.1
95.698.7
Auto8.5
Teleop44.1
End35.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
4%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed