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Red255
395477.8
193981.5
27295.9
Blue293
1519109.8
77290.5
29289.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723290100200300400500600255293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#52
95.90.8
102.3101.6
Auto13.8
Teleop45.6
End36.4
blue by 13.9
109.81.2
110.2109.1
Auto28.3
Teleop43.0
End38.5
Second
1939
#47
81.50.8
83.582.7
Auto9.1
Teleop41.5
End30.9
blue by 9.1
772
#45
90.51.2
98.897.7
Auto13.7
Teleop44.0
End32.8
Third
3954
#38
77.80.8
80.579.7
Auto6.5
Teleop35.2
End36.1
blue by 11.8
292
#58
89.61.2
96.595.4
Auto9.0
Teleop45.5
End35.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed12%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed3%Pressure oddsMissed