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Qual 552017 Tesla Division
Red261
595282.1
663788.6
3015111.6
Blue295
6538115.2
658295.4
469117.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289368100200400500261295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#11
111.61.6
120.3→118.8
Auto18.2
Teleop44.8
End48.6
blue by 5.5
469
#1
117.13.0
118.6→115.6
Auto12.0
Teleop54.7
End50.4
Second
6637
#43
88.61.6
87.7→86.1
Auto7.8
Teleop39.2
End41.6
blue by 26.6
6538
#8
115.23.0
117.0→114.1
Auto13.9
Teleop52.5
End48.8
Third
5952
#56
82.11.6
76.6→75.0
Auto9.4
Teleop40.2
End32.6
blue by 13.3
6582
#18
95.43.0
103.7→100.7
Auto8.4
Teleop48.6
End38.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed80%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
3%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed