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Quarterfinal 2-22017 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red265
457684.8
1876108.7
146684.2
Blue316
74494.8
48104.0
314088.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912970100200400500600700800265316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1876
#4
108.70.3
108.3→108.0
Auto15.6
Teleop47.5
End45.6
red by 4.7
48
#6
104.00.8
102.0→102.7
Auto15.2
Teleop48.5
End40.3
Second
4576
#15
84.80.3
84.4→84.2
Auto7.4
Teleop31.8
End45.6
blue by 10.0
744
#26
94.80.8
92.7→93.5
Auto12.9
Teleop43.5
End38.4
Third
1466
#5
84.20.3
83.8→83.6
Auto9.3
Teleop40.9
End34.0
blue by 4.3
3140
#32
88.60.8
86.5→87.3
Auto9.2
Teleop35.4
End43.9