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Semifinal 2-22017 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red253
80182.8
3824124.2
2393101.7
Blue307
3489102.9
426590.5
10886.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337285100200400500253307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#2
124.21.3
125.5→124.2
Auto16.2
Teleop48.5
End59.5
red by 21.2
3489
#24
102.90.7
102.0→102.7
Auto12.0
Teleop49.0
End41.9
Second
2393
#10
101.71.3
103.0→101.7
Auto12.1
Teleop48.2
End41.4
red by 11.2
4265
#3
90.50.7
89.6→90.2
Auto11.9
Teleop39.2
End39.4
Third
801
#18
82.81.3
84.1→82.8
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End43.6
blue by 3.8
108
#30
86.60.7
85.7→86.4
Auto11.0
Teleop37.1
End38.5