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Red435
80182.8
3824124.2
2393101.7
Blue301
550889.2
453363.6
300086.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346229100200300400500435301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.20.4
125.6126.0
Auto16.2
Teleop48.5
End59.5
red by 34.9
5508
#19
89.21.8
87.289.1
Auto14.4
Teleop36.3
End38.6
Second
2393
#10
101.70.4
103.1103.5
Auto12.1
Teleop48.2
End41.4
red by 15.6
3000
#21
86.02.0
83.885.8
Auto10.7
Teleop42.0
End33.3
Third
801
#18
82.80.4
84.284.6
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End43.6
red by 19.2
63.61.5
61.963.5
Auto2.7
Teleop30.0
End30.8