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Quarterfinal 3-22017 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red343
80182.8
3824124.2
2393101.7
Blue245
550889.2
453363.6
300086.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347235100200300400500343245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#2
124.20.5
126.0→125.5
Auto16.2
Teleop48.5
End59.5
red by 34.9
5508
#19
89.20.2
89.1→89.2
Auto14.4
Teleop36.3
End38.6
Second
2393
#10
101.70.5
103.5→103.0
Auto12.1
Teleop48.2
End41.4
red by 15.6
3000
#21
86.00.2
85.8→86.0
Auto10.7
Teleop42.0
End33.3
Third
801
#18
82.80.5
84.6→84.1
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End43.6
red by 19.2
4533
#9
63.60.1
63.5→63.6
Auto2.7
Teleop30.0
End30.8