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Quarterfinal 4-12017 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red455
10886.6
426590.5
3489102.9
Blue273
34285.3
426479.7
33779.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2882590100200400500600455273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#24
102.91.3
99.2→100.4
Auto12.0
Teleop49.0
End41.9
red by 17.6
342
#14
85.30.0
86.7→86.6
Auto6.3
Teleop36.2
End42.8
Second
4265
#3
90.51.3
86.7→88.0
Auto11.9
Teleop39.2
End39.4
red by 10.7
337
#33
79.80.0
81.2→81.2
Auto8.1
Teleop36.0
End35.8
Third
108
#30
86.61.3
82.8→84.1
Auto11.0
Teleop37.1
End38.5
red by 6.9
4264
#7
79.70.0
81.4→81.4
Auto7.8
Teleop39.4
End32.5