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Quarterfinal 4-22017 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red445
10886.6
426590.5
3489102.9
Blue188
34285.3
426479.7
33779.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292258100200400500445188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#24
102.91.6
100.4→102.0
Auto12.0
Teleop49.0
End41.9
red by 17.6
342
#14
85.31.4
86.6→85.3
Auto6.3
Teleop36.2
End42.8
Second
4265
#3
90.51.6
88.0→89.6
Auto11.9
Teleop39.2
End39.4
red by 10.7
337
#33
79.81.4
81.2→79.8
Auto8.1
Teleop36.0
End35.8
Third
108
#30
86.61.6
84.1→85.7
Auto11.0
Teleop37.1
End38.5
red by 6.9
4264
#7
79.71.7
81.4→79.7
Auto7.8
Teleop39.4
End32.5