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Semifinal 1-12017 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red286
446292.8
549292.5
264199.1
Blue314
74494.8
48104.0
314088.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306299200250350400286314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2641
#13
99.10.1
100.7→100.7
Auto12.6
Teleop43.0
End43.6
blue by 4.9
48
#6
104.00.5
103.3→103.8
Auto15.2
Teleop48.5
End40.3
Second
4462
#16
92.80.1
94.8→94.7
Auto9.7
Teleop38.5
End44.6
blue by 2.0
744
#26
94.80.5
94.0→94.6
Auto12.9
Teleop43.5
End38.4
Third
5492
#11
92.50.1
94.1→94.1
Auto9.3
Teleop43.8
End39.4
red by 3.9
3140
#32
88.60.5
87.8→88.3
Auto9.2
Teleop35.4
End43.9