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Quarterfinal 1-22017 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red267
581654.8
128790.2
4020107.5
Blue287
264199.1
549292.5
446292.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257313150200350400450500267287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#8
107.50.3
107.1→107.5
Auto17.7
Teleop47.7
End42.1
red by 8.3
2641
#13
99.10.1
100.8→100.7
Auto12.6
Teleop43.0
End43.6
Second
1287
#1
90.20.3
89.9→90.2
Auto9.4
Teleop37.2
End43.7
blue by 2.6
4462
#16
92.80.1
94.9→94.8
Auto9.7
Teleop38.5
End44.6
Third
5816
#20
54.80.3
54.4→54.8
Auto9.7
Teleop34.6
End10.4
blue by 37.7
5492
#11
92.50.1
94.2→94.1
Auto9.3
Teleop43.8
End39.4