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Semifinal 1-22017 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red305
446292.8
549292.5
264199.1
Blue265
74494.8
48104.0
314088.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305301240260280320340360380305265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2641
#13
99.10.3
100.7→101.0
Auto12.6
Teleop43.0
End43.6
blue by 4.9
48
#6
104.00.5
103.8→103.3
Auto15.2
Teleop48.5
End40.3
Second
4462
#16
92.80.4
94.7→95.1
Auto9.7
Teleop38.5
End44.6
blue by 2.0
744
#26
94.80.5
94.6→94.1
Auto12.9
Teleop43.5
End38.4
Third
5492
#11
92.50.3
94.1→94.4
Auto9.3
Teleop43.8
End39.4
red by 3.9
3140
#32
88.60.5
88.3→87.8
Auto9.2
Teleop35.4
End43.9