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Semifinal 1-32017 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red205
446292.8
549292.5
264199.1
Blue259
74494.8
48104.0
314088.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307299200250350400205259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2641
#13
99.11.9
101.0→99.1
Auto12.6
Teleop43.0
End43.6
blue by 4.9
48
#6
104.00.6
103.3→102.7
Auto15.2
Teleop48.5
End40.3
Second
4462
#16
92.82.3
95.1→92.8
Auto9.7
Teleop38.5
End44.6
blue by 2.0
744
#26
94.80.6
94.1→93.5
Auto12.9
Teleop43.5
End38.4
Third
5492
#11
92.51.9
94.4→92.5
Auto9.3
Teleop43.8
End39.4
red by 3.9
3140
#32
88.60.6
87.8→87.3
Auto9.2
Teleop35.4
End43.9