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Red464
1296129.0
247387.5
1323103.7
Blue425
4587117.4
596084.4
4206123.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37135905001,0001,5002,000464425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.01.0
128.9129.9
Auto15.6
Teleop58.8
End54.6
red by 5.7
123.40.2
125.6125.5
Auto13.2
Teleop61.2
End48.9
Second
1323
#14
103.71.0
103.6104.6
Auto20.7
Teleop48.9
End34.1
blue by 13.7
4587
#42
117.40.2
119.6119.5
Auto12.3
Teleop54.3
End50.8
Third
2473
#27
87.51.0
87.488.4
Auto10.8
Teleop48.5
End28.2
red by 3.1
5960
#62
84.40.2
86.786.5
Auto7.6
Teleop41.6
End35.1