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Red331
1296129.0
247387.5
1323103.7
Blue236
4587117.4
596084.4
4206123.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37535802006008001,0001,200331236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.00.2
129.9130.1
Auto15.6
Teleop58.8
End54.6
red by 5.7
123.42.1
125.5123.4
Auto13.2
Teleop61.2
End48.9
Second
1323
#14
103.70.2
104.6104.8
Auto20.7
Teleop48.9
End34.1
blue by 13.7
4587
#42
117.42.1
119.5117.4
Auto12.3
Teleop54.3
End50.8
Third
2473
#27
87.50.2
88.488.6
Auto10.8
Teleop48.5
End28.2
red by 3.1
5960
#62
84.42.1
86.584.4
Auto7.6
Teleop41.6
End35.1