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Quarterfinal 1-12017 Dallas Regional
Red255
272369.4
667299.5
284895.6
Blue205
524273.5
505256.6
380274.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972000100400500600255205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6672
#1
99.50.4
100.9→100.5
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End53.8
red by 24.9
3802
#19
74.60.1
74.2→74.2
Auto9.7
Teleop33.4
End31.6
Second
2848
#5
95.60.4
97.0→96.5
Auto12.9
Teleop51.4
End31.3
red by 22.1
5242
#23
73.50.1
73.1→73.1
Auto9.3
Teleop38.4
End25.8
Third
2723
#17
69.40.5
70.9→70.4
Auto9.3
Teleop27.1
End32.9
red by 12.8
5052
#11
56.60.1
56.2→56.2
Auto8.0
Teleop26.5
End22.1