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Red306
272369.4
667299.5
284895.6
Blue330
246896.2
420692.2
541766.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285256100200400500600306330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.51.3
100.1101.4
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End53.8
red by 3.3
2468
#22
96.21.3
94.195.4
Auto11.9
Teleop40.1
End44.2
Second
95.61.3
96.297.4
Auto12.9
Teleop51.4
End31.3
red by 3.4
92.22.0
89.091.0
Auto14.0
Teleop41.8
End36.4
Third
2723
#17
69.41.4
70.071.4
Auto9.3
Teleop27.1
End32.9
red by 2.6
5417
#29
66.81.9
63.865.7
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End36.4