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Quarterfinal 2-12017 Dallas Regional
Red235
541766.8
420692.2
246896.2
Blue215
543177.2
129697.1
433238.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261221100150200300350400450500235215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#22
96.20.2
92.9→92.7
Auto11.9
Teleop40.1
End44.2
blue by 0.9
1296
#6
97.10.0
97.8→97.8
Auto4.3
Teleop35.3
End57.5
Second
4206
#4
92.20.2
87.0→86.8
Auto14.0
Teleop41.8
End36.4
red by 15.0
5431
#25
77.20.0
77.8→77.8
Auto12.0
Teleop44.7
End20.5
Third
5417
#29
66.80.2
62.0→61.7
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End36.4
red by 28.1
4332
#40
38.70.0
39.4→39.4
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End16.0