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Red305
174560.9
613367.7
148106.1
Blue255
235996.4
300573.4
186071.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236254100200300400500305255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#12
106.12.5
103.3105.8
Auto16.0
Teleop47.8
End42.3
red by 9.6
96.40.5
95.496.0
Auto13.3
Teleop37.9
End45.3
Second
67.72.5
64.967.5
Auto8.8
Teleop32.9
End25.9
blue by 5.7
73.40.5
72.472.9
Auto11.7
Teleop34.6
End27.1
Third
1745
#32
60.92.7
57.960.6
Auto7.2
Teleop27.0
End26.7
blue by 10.6
1860
#35
71.40.5
70.471.0
Auto7.2
Teleop35.2
End29.0