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Red253
258762.6
541462.2
258279.8
Blue210
542784.0
333584.1
288169.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215262100300400500253210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#10
79.81.3
81.883.1
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End37.3
blue by 4.2
84.11.4
85.584.1
Auto5.5
Teleop39.2
End39.3
Second
2587
#19
62.61.3
64.665.8
Auto8.2
Teleop47.0
End7.4
blue by 21.4
84.01.6
85.684.0
Auto11.7
Teleop43.3
End29.0
Third
62.21.2
64.065.2
Auto5.6
Teleop31.0
End25.6
blue by 7.7
2881
#36
69.91.6
71.469.9
Auto6.2
Teleop24.4
End39.2