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Red235
399766.5
384796.5
582963.8
Blue250
125586.9
373577.8
637776.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233255100200300400500235250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.50.2
95.695.8
Auto10.4
Teleop39.9
End46.2
red by 9.6
86.90.3
86.186.4
Auto4.7
Teleop43.8
End38.3
Second
3997
#37
66.50.3
65.565.8
Auto7.1
Teleop34.7
End24.7
blue by 11.3
77.80.2
77.277.4
Auto7.7
Teleop39.8
End30.3
Third
5829
#11
63.80.2
63.063.2
Auto6.6
Teleop42.0
End15.2
blue by 12.4
6377
#24
76.30.3
75.575.8
Auto4.6
Teleop33.2
End38.4