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Semifinal 2-32017 Lone Star Central Regional
Red305
399766.5
384796.5
582963.8
Blue255
125586.9
373577.8
637776.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234256100200300400500305255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#3
96.51.8
95.8→97.6
Auto10.4
Teleop39.9
End46.2
red by 9.6
1255
#5
86.90.4
86.4→86.9
Auto4.7
Teleop43.8
End38.3
Second
3997
#37
66.52.2
65.8→67.9
Auto7.1
Teleop34.7
End24.7
blue by 11.3
3735
#4
77.80.3
77.4→77.8
Auto7.7
Teleop39.8
End30.3
Third
5829
#11
63.81.8
63.2→65.0
Auto6.6
Teleop42.0
End15.2
blue by 12.4
6377
#24
76.30.5
75.8→76.3
Auto4.6
Teleop33.2
End38.4