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Red155
258279.8
351040.8
258345.8
Blue135
372836.2
421935.5
333584.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103134050150200250300155135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#10
79.85.9
48.554.4
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End37.3
blue by 4.2
84.10.8
48.649.4
Auto5.5
Teleop39.2
End39.3
Second
2583
#34
45.85.9
31.137.0
Auto4.7
Teleop26.2
End14.9
red by 9.6
3728
#28
36.20.8
36.937.7
Auto1.9
Teleop27.8
End6.5
Third
3510
#13
40.83.9
22.426.3
Auto6.9
Teleop32.1
End1.8
red by 5.3
4219
#29
35.50.8
37.438.2
Auto4.5
Teleop35.6
End-4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed