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Red255
23182.4
656214.1
541779.2
Blue165
399766.5
598667.8
611136.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174139050100200250300350255165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#9
82.42.1
60.662.7
Auto7.5
Teleop40.3
End34.7
red by 14.6
5986
#20
67.80.4
47.647.9
Auto3.4
Teleop32.7
End31.8
Second
5417
#31
79.21.7
67.168.8
Auto6.1
Teleop34.3
End38.8
red by 12.7
3997
#37
66.50.4
45.846.2
Auto7.1
Teleop34.7
End24.7
Third
6562
#17
14.12.1
33.235.3
Auto2.5
Teleop15.6
End-3.9
blue by 22.6
6111
#35
36.70.4
43.443.7
Auto5.6
Teleop27.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed