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Red180
429823.6
588823.2
557281.2
Blue95
577128.9
643039.8
261357.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147116020030040018095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.22.2
68.470.6
Auto6.0
Teleop27.4
End47.9
red by 23.4
2613
#19
57.82.7
47.745.0
Auto3.8
Teleop31.0
End23.1
Second
4298
#40
23.62.2
20.422.6
Auto1.9
Teleop19.3
End2.4
blue by 16.2
6430
#43
39.82.7
37.434.7
Auto6.1
Teleop23.2
End10.5
Third
5888
#37
23.22.2
46.548.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.5
End4.4
blue by 5.7
5771
#39
28.92.7
29.226.5
Auto3.8
Teleop22.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed