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Red140
235268.2
19279.1
473415.8
Blue145
614441.8
246868.7
578319.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161167050100200250300350140145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#15
79.11.5
75.874.3
Auto5.6
Teleop33.7
End39.9
red by 10.4
2468
#17
68.71.4
77.776.3
Auto11.1
Teleop34.7
End22.9
Second
2352
#14
68.21.5
63.161.6
Auto8.0
Teleop27.7
End32.5
red by 26.4
6144
#21
41.81.4
48.947.5
Auto5.4
Teleop24.5
End12.0
Third
4734
#36
15.81.5
14.713.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End-3.0
blue by 4.0
5783
#31
19.81.4
31.229.8
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End-7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed