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Red259
3310B68.3
399983.7
5431B54.5
Blue115
215856.6
632160.7
420686.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2042600100300400500600700259115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.71.5
82.984.4
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End31.0
blue by 2.7
4206
#20
86.32.7
96.093.3
Auto11.7
Teleop46.9
End27.7
Second
3310B
Unranked
68.32.5
57.059.5
Auto13.7
Teleop29.2
End25.4
red by 7.7
6321
#11
60.72.7
73.871.1
Auto8.4
Teleop26.9
End25.3
Third
5431B
Unranked
54.52.5
51.253.7
Auto9.1
Teleop31.2
End14.2
blue by 2.1
2158
#15
56.62.7
65.863.1
Auto4.9
Teleop28.6
End23.0