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Red255
174554.5
129694.0
541792.3
Blue305
276577.6
543192.7
419275.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263266150200250300350255305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.00.5
91.792.2
Auto14.4
Teleop47.5
End32.1
red by 1.3
92.71.4
91.292.6
Auto14.5
Teleop47.9
End30.3
Second
5417
#14
92.30.5
90.190.5
Auto7.7
Teleop43.8
End40.8
red by 14.7
77.61.4
76.077.4
Auto11.8
Teleop35.3
End30.4
Third
1745
#22
54.50.5
52.352.8
Auto9.3
Teleop29.3
End15.9
blue by 20.5
4192
#13
75.01.4
73.574.9
Auto6.3
Teleop42.1
End26.6