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Red313
3310B68.3
399983.7
5431B54.5
Blue255
215856.6
632160.7
420686.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232230150200250300313255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.72.5
84.486.8
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End31.0
blue by 2.7
4206
#20
86.30.6
93.393.9
Auto11.7
Teleop46.9
End27.7
Second
3310B
Unranked
68.34.1
59.563.6
Auto13.7
Teleop29.2
End25.4
red by 7.7
6321
#11
60.70.6
71.171.7
Auto8.4
Teleop26.9
End25.3
Third
5431B
Unranked
54.54.1
53.757.8
Auto9.1
Teleop31.2
End14.2
blue by 2.1
2158
#15
56.60.6
63.163.7
Auto4.9
Teleop28.6
End23.0