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Red305
174554.5
129694.0
541792.3
Blue240
276577.6
543192.7
419275.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266269200250300350305240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.01.5
92.293.8
Auto14.4
Teleop47.5
End32.1
red by 1.3
92.70.2
92.692.4
Auto14.5
Teleop47.9
End30.3
Second
5417
#14
92.31.5
90.592.1
Auto7.7
Teleop43.8
End40.8
red by 14.7
77.60.2
77.477.2
Auto11.8
Teleop35.3
End30.4
Third
1745
#22
54.51.5
52.854.3
Auto9.3
Teleop29.3
End15.9
blue by 20.5
4192
#13
75.00.2
74.974.7
Auto6.3
Teleop42.1
End26.6