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Red250
174554.5
129694.0
541792.3
Blue395
276577.6
543192.7
419275.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28025904006008001,0001,2001,4001,600250395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.00.2
93.894.0
Auto14.4
Teleop47.5
End32.1
red by 1.3
92.71.1
92.493.5
Auto14.5
Teleop47.9
End30.3
Second
5417
#14
92.30.2
92.192.3
Auto7.7
Teleop43.8
End40.8
red by 14.7
77.61.1
77.278.3
Auto11.8
Teleop35.3
End30.4
Third
1745
#22
54.50.2
54.354.5
Auto9.3
Teleop29.3
End15.9
blue by 20.5
4192
#13
75.01.1
74.775.8
Auto6.3
Teleop42.1
End26.6